Category Archives: Financial Crises

Complexity illustrated by the financial crisis

This IGM poll of leading economists on the importance of various factors in the financial crisis of 2008 provides interesting results. The poll lists 12 factors, and all of them receive at least some positive weight. In fact, this under-estimates … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Crisis of 2008, links to my essays | 3 Comments

Regulatory miscalculation

Two examples. 1. Stephen Matteo Miller writes, While these findings do not establish that the Recourse Rule caused the financial crisis, they are consistent with the view that the rule encouraged securitizing banks, especially the largest ones, to hold the … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Crisis of 2008, links to my essays | 1 Comment

The CBO gets worse

John Taylor writes, The second CBO procedural change was to discontinue the use of the “alternative fiscal scenario” in the long-term projections There is more at the link. I think that CBO modeling is way over-rated and biased toward interventionist … Continue reading

Posted in Economic education and methods, government debt crisis | 2 Comments

Debt and the economy

Kevin Erdmann comments, Debt isn’t a sign of risk taking. Equity is. The reason Ford has lots of debt isn’t because risk-seeking shareholders demand that they leverage up. Risk-seeking shareholders buy unleveraged Tesla shares. The reason Ford has lots of … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Crises | 18 Comments

Stanley Fischer, pre-crisis

He writes, We have a better capitalized and more liquid banking system, less run-prone money markets, and more robust resolution mechanisms for large financial institutions. However, it would be foolish to think we have eliminated all risks. For example, we … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Crises | 14 Comments

Is Illinois the trailer for the debt movie?

I assume you have been following the story. Illinois is now grappling with $15 billion of unpaid bills and an unthinkable quarter-trillion dollars owed to public employees when they retire. This would be the third year in a row that … Continue reading

Posted in government debt crisis | 15 Comments

Two Thoughts on William Niskanen

I had only one close encounter with him. That was when he went to a Congressman’s office to argue against TARP and he invited me to join in the meeting. My observations about him: 1. He was highly principled. If … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Crisis of 2008 | 8 Comments

What I’m Reading

Two books that attack conventional economic modeling, especially in light of the financial crisis. I have a preview copy of Economics for Independent Thinkers, by Daniel Nevins. I have a review copy of The End of Theory, by Richard Bookstaber. … Continue reading

Posted in books and book reviews, Financial Crisis of 2008 | Tagged , | 15 Comments

When to break up the big banks

Stephen G. Cecchetti and Kermit L. Schoenholtz write, From our perspective, by raising the odds of an effective resolution, FIBA (as a complement to Dodd-Frank) boosts the credibility of the U.S. regime. Over time, foreign regulators also may be reassured … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Crises, Mark Thoma is Indispensable | 7 Comments

Needed: A March for Fiscal Responsibility

John Cochrane writes, We live on the edge of a run on sovereign debt. The US has a shorter maturity structure than most other countries, and a greater problem of unresolved entitlements. Despite our “reserve currency” status, we may actually … Continue reading

Posted in government debt crisis | 13 Comments