Category Archives: statistical methods

Unhinged Nation Watch

John Cochrane reproduces a graph showing a post-election surge in economic confidence among Republicans and a corresponding decline in economic confidence among Democrats. As John points out, this raises doubts about the meaning of surveys of economic confidence.

Posted in Politics, statistical methods | 16 Comments

What Drives the Result?

Douglas L. Campbell writes, the Glick and Rose estimation strategy implicitly assumes that the end of the cold war had no impact on trade between the East and the West. Several of the Euro countries today, such as the former … Continue reading

Posted in Mark Thoma is Indispensable, statistical methods | 1 Comment

Russ Roberts on Economic Methods

He writes, fundamentals like income or even changes in income over time are somewhat measurable with some precision, [but] we are notoriously unreliable at the things the world really cares about and asks of our profession: why did income for … Continue reading

Posted in Economic education and methods, statistical methods, Tyler Cowen is my Favorite Blogger | 2 Comments

The Three Iron Laws, Illustrated

Tyler Cowen writes, I find few people are willing to embrace the more consistent statistical preference plus agnosticism, rather they play the game of “statistical noise for thee but not for me.” He is writing about what is now a … Continue reading

Posted in statistical methods, Tyler Cowen is my Favorite Blogger | 3 Comments

Andrew Gelman on the Replication Crisis

He writes, 2011: Joseph Simmons, Leif Nelson, and Uri Simonsohn publish a paper, “False-positive psychology,” in Psychological Science introducing the useful term “researcher degrees of freedom.” Later they come up with the term p-hacking, and Eric Loken and I speak … Continue reading

Posted in statistical methods | 3 Comments

Testing for Housing Discrimination

Commenting on an article by Sun Jung Oh and John Yinger, Timothy Taylor writes, Overall, the findings from the 2012 study find ongoing discrimination against blacks in rental and sales markets for housing. For Hispanics, there appears to be discrimination … Continue reading

Posted in statistical methods, Timothy Taylor is my Favorite Blogger | 3 Comments

The Case for Sticking with the Null Hypothesis

Jesse Singal writes, As things continue to unfold, there will be at least some correlation between which areas of research get hit the hardest by replication issues and which areas of research offer the most optimistic accounts of human nature, … Continue reading

Posted in Economics of Education, statistical methods, Tyler Cowen is my Favorite Blogger | 2 Comments

Prison and Mental Illness

Scott Alexander writes, What about that graph? It’s very suggestive. You see a sudden drop in the number of people in state mental hospitals. Then you see a corresponding sudden rise in the number of people in prison. It looks … Continue reading

Posted in statistical methods | Comments Off

On Climate Science

Phillip W. Magness writes, In a strange way, modern climatology shares much in common with the approach of 1950s Keynesian macroeconomics. It usually starts with a number of sweeping assumptions about the relation between atmospheric carbon and temperature, and presumes … Continue reading

Posted in statistical methods | 9 Comments

Decentralized Data Collection

Virginia Postrel writes, Premise reverses the usual do-gooder assumption about the Internet’s benefits for people in developing countries — that it supplies precious information from abroad. (People in Pakistan can take online courses from MIT!) Instead, it turns those ubiquitous … Continue reading

Posted in business economics, statistical methods | Comments Off