Meir Kohn is not delusional

Meir Kohn writes,

Economic progress can be understood in terms of the different effects of commerce and predation. Commerce makes it easier for people to trade with one another. The resulting expansion of trade leads to increased productivity, which creates opportunities for further expansion of trade. Economic progress, therefore, is a self‐​perpetuating process. Why, then, isn’t every nation wealthy? The answer is predation. Predation slows, stops, and even reverses economic progress. And the principal source of predation is governments.

Read the whole thing. His libertarian thinking is close to identical with mine. He concludes,

Government is necessary to protect us against predation by other governments. But government is not a suitable instrument for other purposes, such as regulating economic activity, funding scientific research, or engaging in social engineering.

Every other ideological viewpoint, from “state capacity libertarianism” to “national conservatism” to progressivism to socialism, presumes that government will do other jobs well. For me, those ideological viewpoints have a burden of proof to show that they are not delusional.

Where libertarianism fails is in convincing those with Fear of Others’ Liberty. Our delusion is that FOOLs will put up with limited government.

What about Rexit (red-state exit)?

Craig Shirley writes,

America is, in my opinion, historically sensible enough that a transition from a constitutional republic to a set of allied, regional constitutional confederations based on the republican model would not seem that far-fetched. As was mentioned earlier, maybe a set of self-governing regions united by a common American heritage would allow our country to actually solve some of its most glaring problems.

He compares the current red-blue divide to a marriage that cannot be saved.

I think that a better form of breakup would be more virtual than real. If I could stay in Maryland but have a Texas government, that would be better than having to choose one or the other. Balaji Srinivasan puts it this way, in a podcast that I will comment on more in several days,

one of the Westphalian assumptions is that people who are geographically proximal are ideologically proximal. That, say, you live next door to this guy, therefore you share his language, you share his culture, you share the norms for the most part, you know them, you say hi to them, all the types of stuff, right. In the modern era, people live in these apartment buildings where they couldn’t recognize somebody who lives 10 feet away from them but they’re sharing the most intimate moments with people 3,000 miles away via Snapchat or Twitter or whatever, right?

. . .new kinds of polities will form. New ways of self-governing humans that are fundamentally network-based, rather than state-based.

But either virtually or geographically, Rexit would be really hard to negotiate. Think of the existing liabilities that have to be sorted out. The Rexiteers do not want to pay for teacher pensions. The Blue remainers do not want to let the Rexiteers off the hook for all of Social Security’s unfunded liabilities.

Messing with the web of social conventions

The late economist Hyman Minsky had an aphorism:

It’s easy to create money. The trick is getting it accepted

This aphorism can be adapted to other realms.

It’s easy to create a software standard (like the Internet protocols, or an operating system, or a programming language). The trick is getting it accepted.

It’s easy to create the software architecture for a social network. The trick is getting it accepted.

It’s easy to create a law. The trick is getting it accepted.

It’s easy to create a social norm. The trick is getting it accepted.

It’s easy to create a religion. The trick is getting it accepted.

It’s easy to create a credentialing system. The trick is getting it accepted.

What to call things that are like this? I like the term “consensual hallucination,” as William Gibson defined cyberspace in his sci-fi novel Neuromancer. But a more standard term would be “social convention.”

We live in a web of social conventions. Each social convention by itself is a sort of Chesterton Fence. You may wonder why it’s there, but take it away and you may not anticipate what will happen elsewhere in the web. You ignore potential interdependencies at your peril. De-fund the police (or delegitimize them) and crime goes up. Get rid of government schools and replace them with a voucher system, and perhaps you get only the intended consequences, but maybe you don’t.

Once social conventions have been adopted for awhile, they become very sticky. Is Microsoft Word the best possible word processing program? No, but try to replace it. Is Facebook the best way to design an online social network? No, but try to replace it. Is the U.S. patent system the best way to address intellectual property? No, but try to replace it. Is a Harvard MBA or a Yale law degree the best credentialing system for finding people for powerful positions? No, but try to replace them.

Freedom of speech is an interesting social convention. The First Amendment (another social convention) technically applies only to the U.S. Congress. But many of us seek to promote the social convention of free speech more broadly.

Private property is a social convention. The economist Hernando de Soto in The Mystery of Capital, pointed out that having clear legal title to land makes a tremendous difference in a society. Without it, people cannot rely on enjoying the benefits from building on that land. They cannot borrow against their real estate assets. They have only what he calls “dead capital.”

Our society treats property rights as essential. We follow John Locke in this regard. Or a natural law tradition that preceded him.

Karl Marx’s followers saw private property as an evil social convention. Just get rid of it! Well, we know what happened.

Philosopher Michael Huemer’s The Problem of Political Authority questions the usefulness of giving government the right to coerce and citizens the duty to obey. Could we not get rid of these social conventions? I reviewed his book skeptically. I wrote,

I suspect that the real reasons that people buy into political authority cannot be found in the work of political philosophers, such as Thomas Hobbes, John Rawls, or James Fishkin. The true reasons are implicit, and someone needs to undertake the task of teasing them out. Until we know what the real reasons are, we will not be able to refute them.

This is not to say that we should never tinker with social conventions. Progress depends on successful tinkering. But we should always be wary that an experiment in social (re-)engineering may not work.

Keep this in mind as you read Balaji Srininivasan’s How to Start a New Country. He strikes me as cavalier about the stickiness and interconnectedness of some of the social conventions that he thinks can be cast aside.

Exit, Voice, and Wokeness

Mike Gonzalez writes,

Still, all these areas—the media, the academy, the churches, sports—are basically volitional. You don’t have to watch Monday Night Football; you can cancel your newspaper subscription; if your rabbi is too much of a social justice warrior, you simply switch synagogues. Most of us, however, have to do one thing every weekday: go to work. Ever since Adam bit the apple and God told him that henceforth “by the sweat of your brow you shall eat bread,” we have gotten up almost daily, put on overalls, a uniform, or a tie, and set forth to make a living.

He is reviewing The Dictatorship of Woke Capital, by Stephen R. Soukup.

When the topic of resistance to Wokeism is discussed these days, I see issues of exit and voice being raised in many places, including the comments on this blog. For example, see Handle.

Exit means choosing a different institution. A prominent member quit my synagogue a few months ago when he became fed up with its wokeness. There is a lot of talk about home schooling. People have speculated about boycotting Google or Amazon.

Voice means advocating for a different point of view within institutions. See Heterodox Academy or the Academic Freedom Alliance. Or supporting laws that ban government support for CRT training.

I think it helps to explicitly classify different approaches as exit-oriented or voice-oriented. I thought that Angelo Codevilla’s American Exodus essay suffered by failing to employ this distinction.

The question of whether conservatives/libertarians should seek regulation of big tech turns on this exit/voice issue. If we think that we have enough choice available in the private sector, then we are likely to oppose government regulation. But if we think that Woke Capital is indeed becoming a dictatorship, then we probably want to think in terms of using the political process to resist.

I am in the “exit” camp. I want to develop and promote entrepreneurial ideas that allow people to get away from Wokeism, particularly in K-12 education and higher education.

Against vaccine passports

Mask mandates make more sense to me than vaccine passports.

I would make the case for a mask mandate in a pandemic with no vaccine available. Suppose you and I enter the same store. As I understand it, my mask offers little protection to me. But your mask offers significant protection to me.

With a vaccine, the relative values are reversed. If you and I visit the same store, my vaccination shot gives me lots of protection, while your vaccination shot is much less meaningful to me.

In terms of immediate contact with other people, there is a public-goods argument for a mask mandate in a pandemic without a vaccine. But in terms of immediate contact with other people, vaccines are much more of a private good.

The public-goods argument for vaccines has to do with “crushing the virus” in general, not with making individuals safer to be around. You can argue that if not everyone is vaccinated, the virus will have more hosts and more opportunities to mutate.

I am willing to buy this public-goods argument for giving people an incentive to get vaccinated. But the penalty for not getting a vaccine should not be house arrest. Metaphorically, I would say we should give people a “vaccine discount” at the movies rather than banning unvaccinated people from going to the movies altogether.

Maybe the subsidy for getting a vaccine should be quite high. Maybe the “no-vaccine” tax should be quite high. But depriving someone of their freedom of movement because they refuse to get a COVID vaccine is wrong. I strongly oppose vaccine passports.

Who gets to restrict speech?

Anthony Doyle writes,

In the end, we have to consider which is more harmful to society: a minority who would seek to incite violence against their fellow citizens, or a state that has been empowered to set the limits of permissible thought and speech. On balance, I suspect that those of us who know a thing or two about history will settle on the latter.

From an essay excerpted from his new book. This seems to qualify as steel-manning, in that he does make the effort to build the case for the other point of view.

In contrast with Doyle’s steel-manning, Glenn Greenwald writes,

journalists have bizarrely transformed from their traditional role as leading free expression defenders into the the most vocal censorship advocates, using their platforms to demand that tech monopolies ban and silence others.

That same motive of self-preservation is driving them to equate any criticisms of their work with “harassment,” “abuse” and “violence” — so that it is not just culturally stigmatized but a banning offense, perhaps even literally criminal, to critique their journalism on the ground that any criticism of them places them “in danger.” Under this rubric they want to construct, they can malign anyone they want, ruin people’s reputations, and unite to generate hatred against their chosen targets, but nobody can even criticize them.

In The Three Languages of Politics, I make a case for treating everyone else as reasonable. If you want to diagnose anyone’s beliefs as irrational or self-serving, do that only to yourself. I admit that I have not always lived up to this ideal.

Another term for steel-manning is “cognitive empathy,” meaning trying to understand what the other person is thinking. Let me try to show cognitive empathy for the journalists Greenwald disapproves of (and make no mistake, I disapprove of them, too). I see them as believing that society will work better if people trust the information that they get from mainstream journalists. Those who undermine that trust threaten society by creating an environment in which falsehoods masquerade as news and in which journalists who try to do their job feel threatened and intimidated. Society needs to fight back against these spoilers of the realm of public knowledge.

Although I can empathize with this point of view, I do not find it compelling. As Greenwald points out, it can be hard to tell the difference these days between writers with and without journalistic credentials. Often, it is the ordinary people breaking stories and providing reliable analysis. Meanwhile, there are credentialed journalists playing the role of spoilers–spreading falsehoods and intimidating those who try to speak the truth.

Number One Pick going for W, M

Scott Alexander writes about Freddy DeBoer’s The Cult of Smart.

If the season had started, and if DeBoer were on someone’s team, Alexander would get a Win. In response to DeBoer’s case for the Null Hypothesis that successful school reform is not scalable, Alexander writes

These are good points, and I would accept them from anyone other than DeBoer, who will go on to say in a few chapters that the solution to our education issues is a Marxist revolution that overthrows capitalism and dispenses with the very concept of economic value. If he’s willing to accept a massive overhaul of everything, that’s failed every time it’s tried, why not accept a much smaller overhaul-of-everything, that’s succeeded at least once?

Later in the essay, Alexander creates a candidate to score a Meme.

School is child prison. It’s forcing kids to spend their childhood – a happy time! a time of natural curiosity and exploration and wonder – sitting in un-air-conditioned blocky buildings, cramped into identical desks, listening to someone drone on about the difference between alliteration and assonance, desperate to even be able to fidget but knowing that if they do their teacher will yell at them, and maybe they’ll get a detention that extends their sentence even longer without parole. The anti-psychiatric-abuse community has invented the “Burrito Test” – if a place won’t let you microwave a burrito without asking permission, it’s an institution. Doesn’t matter if the name is “Center For Flourishing” or whatever and the aides are social workers in street clothes instead of nurses in scrubs – if it doesn’t pass the Burrito Test, it’s an institution. There is no way school will let you microwave a burrito without permission. THEY WILL NOT EVEN LET YOU GO TO THE BATHROOM WITHOUT PERMISSION. YOU HAVE TO RAISE YOUR HAND AND ASK YOUR TEACHER FOR SOMETHING CALLED “THE BATHROOM PASS” IN FRONT OF YOUR ENTIRE CLASS, AND IF SHE DOESN’T LIKE YOU, SHE CAN JUST SAY NO.

Incidentally, I have decided to simplify Meme scoring. A player scores a Meme point if a Meme is used (by someone other than the player) three or more times during the season. So if “child prison” gets used by three other writers to mean school, Scott’s owner gets a Meme point.

A summary of conservatism

From Bo Winegard.

the timeless truths and principles at the heart of conservative ideology: (1) Humans are flawed creatures; (2) Reason is powerful but limited and prone to error; (3) Utopian thinking is dangerous, especially when combined with ideologies that promote concentrated political power; (4) Humans should respect tradition and custom; and (5) Intuition is an important guide to social policy.

I did not find his discussion of #5 compelling. But the first four are comparable to the summary of conservatism that you will find in Jerry Muller’s anthology. Libertarians naturally reject (4). When they reject (1) and (2), they also gravitate toward utopianism.