Oren Cass vs. me

Schematically, our exchange went like this:

1 (Cass). Masonomics sucks!

2 (Kling). Here is an outline of Masonomics.

3 (Cass). You have no idea what my article was saying!

4 (Kling). I am afraid that makes two of us.

The first three pieces appeared in print in the Claremont Review of Books, with (1) an article in the fall issue and (2) and (3) appearing in the correspondence section of the winter issue. All are presumably behind a paywall, but the link to (2) -(3) is here.

The full version of (2) is below.

In “When Market Economists Fail” (Fall 2020), Oren Cass sets up a strawman version of free-market economics, which he proceeds to burn up in a blaze of rhetoric. Here is a version that I believe would be more recognizable to free-market economists:

The challenge for an economy is to achieve coordination and improvement. Government and markets are two processes for doing so.

For coordination, central planners lack the information to coordinate sensibly in the absence of a price system. Regulators who operate on top of the price system face the same calculation problem. In the end, regulators are as blind as the director of a totally centrally planned economy. As an example, consider how financial regulators in the early 2000s, in what was known as the “recourse rule,” reduced the bank capital requirements for holding mortgage securities with AA- and AAA-ratings, thinking that they were steering banks toward assets with lower risk. Oops.

For improvement, we need a process that experiments, evaluates results, and evolves by discarding failure and retaining success. For each of these, markets are better suited than government. Markets are conducive to more experimentation, because innovators do not require bureaucratic approval to attempt ideas that go against conventional wisdom. Markets evaluate more rigorously, using the profit and loss system rather than impressionistic estimates of benefits and costs. Finally, markets discard unsuccessful and outmoded operations, while ineffective and anachronistic government programs persist.

Market failure is real. In theory, if government officials could solve the calculation problem, they would provide incentives to increase or decrease the relevant activity to some theoretically optimal level. In practice, government does not steer the market to right quantity. Instead, government typically subsidizes demand and restricts supply, with countervailing effects on quantity but creating rents for narrow interest groups. This is true in housing, higher education, and health care.

In the absence of government intervention, markets are not stuck in failure. Often, a market failure creates an opportunity for an innovator to profit by building a business that produces a better outcome. In many areas where government claims success, it has stifled private solutions that worked better.

In short, the free-market economist says that economic outcomes, like all human phenomena, are imperfect. But we claim that the processes of coordination and improvement work better with less government intervention.

5 thoughts on “Oren Cass vs. me

  1. Arnold gets the W. Uh oh…it’s starting to look like Cass might slip from the FIT draft entirely.

  2. Arnold Kling’s fundamental aphorism: “Markets fail. Use Markets.” How to get people to grasp it?

    1) Start with Bryan Caplan’s fundamental aphorism: “Keep your eye firmly on production.” Result: Fewer sideward glances about income distribution.

    2) Teach the Coase Theorem like a hammer until students can apply it in their sleep to fresh examples. Result: Lighter, smarter regulation.

  3. Amartya Sen’s Development as Freedom is my personal favorite synthesis of the competing Cass-Kling tensions. One suspects that Cass and Kling are talking past each other. Sen quotes James Buchanan “The definition of democracy as ‘government by discussion’ implies that individual values can and do change in the process of decision-making.” Interestingly, Sen also quotes Chairman Mao:

    “Without democracy, you have no understanding of what is happening down below; the situation will be unclear; you will be unable to collect sufficient opinions from all sides; there can be no communication between top and bottom; top level organs of leadership will depend on one-sided and incorrect material to decide issues, thus you will find it difficult to achieve unity of understanding and unity of action…”

    Apparently Mao was more liberal than the tech oligarchs and deep state functionaries who now govern the USA. This is why Sen, who by placing political freedoms and democracy preeminent in his approach to development, ahead of even his acknowledgment of the fundamental blessings of markets, makes him the thinking populists choice for number one economist.

    • [Apparently Mao was more liberal than the tech oligarchs and deep state functionaries who now govern the USA. ]

      Apparently you fail to distinguish between what Mao said and what Mao did.

      Mao was a politician after all, so anyone investigating Mao should have that distinction as first priority.

  4. [Market failure is real.]

    No.

    Markets do not fail. Markets are processes which deliver outcomes based on the economic actors participating in them.

    Markets only “fail” when ideologues do not like the outcomes produce. That is not a “failure” of markets, but rather a desire for totalitarian control by said ideologues.

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