Labor Force Participation

From a paper by Bill Wascher and many co-authors.

participation rates among youths have been declining since the mid-1990s, in part reflecting the higher returns to education documented extensively by other researchers, but also, we believe, some crowding out of job opportunities for young workers associated with the decline in middle-skill jobs and thus greater competition for the low-skilled jobs traditionally held by teenagers and young adults. Such “polarization” effects also appear to have weighed on the participation of less-educated prime-age men and, more recently, prime-age women. In contrast, increasing longevity and better health status, coupled with changes in social security rules and increased educational attainment, have contributed to an ongoing rise in the participation rates of older individuals, but these increases have not been large enough to provide much offset to the various downward influences on the aggregate participation rate.

…the nearly 2¼ percentage point decline in the aggregate participation rate we project over the next decade will continue to hold down trend output growth by a little less than ½ percentage point per year through the end of the decade.

1 thought on “Labor Force Participation

  1. Since participation rate is down 2.25 and output is down .5, does that mean these workers are only 1/5 as productive as the average worker?

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