1.12 overall, 1.16 outside of New York, so moving in the wrong direction. Curious to see whether the timing of reporting means that today borrowed some reported deaths from earlier days or even from tomorrow.
6 thoughts on “3DDRR, April 29”
I’ve been tracking the daily numbers here in Massachusetts, and what I have been seeing is that many deaths reported today actually occurred in the past few days and some happened up to two weeks ago.
Any place that reports death by actual date of death shows a clear decline.
It has been harder to find this information for individual US states. If anyone has them, let me know.
For example, deaths in PA were up 479 today according to the COVID tracking project, a 27% increase. I sincerely doubt that a material portion of those deaths are recent. I think states are taking a closer look at nursing home deaths, and I could see the lag in reporting being much longer compared to hospitals.
The political bar was set at 100,000 deaths. That is now the goal of the death counters.
But then again there was a Daily Wire story the other day about how a head injury death and drug overdose death were coded as covid-related. The amount of noise in the numbers may be increasing.
The headline, which is visible in the URL, tells you exactly what you need to know.
I’ve been tracking the daily numbers here in Massachusetts, and what I have been seeing is that many deaths reported today actually occurred in the past few days and some happened up to two weeks ago.
Any place that reports death by actual date of death shows a clear decline.
UK: https://www.cebm.net/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Deaths-of-patients-in-England-29th-April.png
Sweden: https://adamaltmejd.se/covid/
NYC: https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/imm/covid-19-deaths-confirmed-probable-daily-04292020.pdf
It has been harder to find this information for individual US states. If anyone has them, let me know.
For example, deaths in PA were up 479 today according to the COVID tracking project, a 27% increase. I sincerely doubt that a material portion of those deaths are recent. I think states are taking a closer look at nursing home deaths, and I could see the lag in reporting being much longer compared to hospitals.
The political bar was set at 100,000 deaths. That is now the goal of the death counters.
More suggestion that Perhaps the reversal to the wrong direction means we have hit a second (or third) wave: https://realclimatescience.com/2020/04/listen-to-the-nurses/
But then again there was a Daily Wire story the other day about how a head injury death and drug overdose death were coded as covid-related. The amount of noise in the numbers may be increasing.
The headline, which is visible in the URL, tells you exactly what you need to know.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-us-is-funding-dangerous-experiments-it-doesnt-want-you-to-know-about/2019/02/27/5f60e934-38ae-11e9-a2cd-307b06d0257b_story.html
In the meantime, make sure you all are getting enough Vitamin D.
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3585561
VDI (Vit. D Insufficiency) is highly associated with underage deaths.
I’m afraid the noise in the death data is going up as politics tries to blame more deaths on politicians.