Individual persons don’t seem to be interchangeable. A Bayesian approach can add value at the margins.

I was re-reading Thomas Sowell’s _Intellectuals and Society_ this past week, and he said something about intellectuals preference for settling controversial policy issues based on large theoretical considerations, rather than based on the “mundane specifics” of the matter.

The more we investigate the “mundane specifics” of the matter, the saner our immigration and refugee / asylum and citizenship policies will be. The mundane specifics matter because people differ, and it’s a big world. Kabul is not like Scarsdale, for example.

The “mundane specifics” center not just on comparing data on (for example) the last 100,000 Fredonian immigrants in America to the last 100,000 Polivitsian immigrants, but comparing the apparent life trajectories of their descendants in the USA.

A variety of provocative viewpoints exist if we are willing to read widely–and not all of them should be summarily rejected because they offend our sensibilities.

Hard-headed analysis seems to be almost taboo. Not only is dispassionate analysis taboo, but all too often thinking out loud about the topic seems to involve risk.

Future reading:

What you can’t say by Paul Graham. web essay at paulgraham.com

Europe’s angry Muslims by Robert Leiken , Oxford University Press, ca. 2012.

Blog essays at Unz.com, including but not limited to anything written by “JayMan” or Peter Frost. Alas, they are bloggers and thus not peer reviewed.

Steve Sailer has proposed that the USA institute an “National Immigration Safety Board” similar to the one that investigates plane crashes. Why shouldn’t we have one? Is that a bad idea? If not, why not?

http://blog.dilbert.com/post/134791529391/risk-management-trump-persuasion-series

As I understand it, Trump’s plan is to halt the immigration of non-citizen Muslims to the US. I am open to the possibility that it is a bad plan, but I am at a loss for how it could be a worse plan that attempting to systematically disarm the local population. Care to elaborate?

Even still, Trumps idea is surprisingly stupider.

Trump took a stand for beauty, truth, order, and justice today. If he succeeds at stopping third world trash from taking over demographically it will be the single most important accomplishment of any president.

There is no coming back from demographic apocalypse, no reversal of the greatest mistake a modern society can make. Germany could survive losing two world wars. It won’t survive being demographically replaced. Demographics may not be destiny all on their own, but they are a pre-requiste of destiny. If you don’t have the right genes, you lose, no matter what else you do.

It took thousands of years to build societies capable of bringing us out the the pre-industrial abyss to live in a world where the vast majority of lives aren’t “nasty, brutish, and short.” That there are those that would send us back there simply so they don’t get called “racist” is a great evil.

If you actually run the numbers the only hope for the Republicans in the next ten years is to get 65%+ of the white vote. Their only hope past ten years is to stop immigration and deport who they can.

Explicitly becoming the white party is the only way to win. A few minutes with the fwd.us election tool will prove this (ironic, huh).

Majority whites need to take down traitor whites and their imported mud slave caste that they are using to make up for the fact that white people don’t believe in them anymore.