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	<title>Comments on: Olivier Blanchard Profiled</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.arnoldkling.com/blog/olivier-blanchard-profiled/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.arnoldkling.com/blog/olivier-blanchard-profiled/</link>
	<description>taking the most charitable view of those who disagree</description>
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		<title>By: Jack PQ</title>
		<link>http://www.arnoldkling.com/blog/olivier-blanchard-profiled/#comment-461041</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jack PQ]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Oct 2015 13:25:42 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Good reading, although bits such as this one are groan-inducing: &quot;...an economics profession whose pretense to science has been badly undermined by ideological divisions and a series of crises that it failed to anticipate or even comprehend. ...a lifelong effort to restore economics as a disciplined way of thinking about the world that is truthful, intuitive and useful.&quot;

This is a Hollywood narrative. In truth, there is not *enough* division in the profession; there is one dominant paradigm, and talk of Keynes is only for policy circles. Anticipating crises... well by definition a crisis is what you did not anticipate, so that&#039;s nonsensical. Comprehend, well, 20 years of Great Moderation (Olivier Blanchard himself a few years ago: &quot;The State of macro is good.&quot;) gave researchers no incentives to look deep into crises. Friedman&#039;s and Bernanke&#039;s work on the Great Depression seemed pretty thorough. And as for &quot;truthful, intuitive and useful&quot;, have they read Blanchard&#039;s papers? How are they different? It&#039;s the same MIT model approach. Usefulness is hard to gauge in macroeconomics--maybe impossible because we don&#039;t have an experimental setting (Dr. Kling writes about a high causal density). So yes, he&#039;s a smart and hardworking fellow, but the rest is Hollywood make-believe.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good reading, although bits such as this one are groan-inducing: &#8220;&#8230;an economics profession whose pretense to science has been badly undermined by ideological divisions and a series of crises that it failed to anticipate or even comprehend. &#8230;a lifelong effort to restore economics as a disciplined way of thinking about the world that is truthful, intuitive and useful.&#8221;</p>
<p>This is a Hollywood narrative. In truth, there is not *enough* division in the profession; there is one dominant paradigm, and talk of Keynes is only for policy circles. Anticipating crises&#8230; well by definition a crisis is what you did not anticipate, so that&#8217;s nonsensical. Comprehend, well, 20 years of Great Moderation (Olivier Blanchard himself a few years ago: &#8220;The State of macro is good.&#8221;) gave researchers no incentives to look deep into crises. Friedman&#8217;s and Bernanke&#8217;s work on the Great Depression seemed pretty thorough. And as for &#8220;truthful, intuitive and useful&#8221;, have they read Blanchard&#8217;s papers? How are they different? It&#8217;s the same MIT model approach. Usefulness is hard to gauge in macroeconomics&#8211;maybe impossible because we don&#8217;t have an experimental setting (Dr. Kling writes about a high causal density). So yes, he&#8217;s a smart and hardworking fellow, but the rest is Hollywood make-believe.</p>
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