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	<title>Comments on: Narrative is the New Baloney Sandwich</title>
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	<link>http://www.arnoldkling.com/blog/narrative-is-the-new-baloney-sandwich/</link>
	<description>taking the most charitable view of those who disagree</description>
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		<title>By: Andrew'</title>
		<link>http://www.arnoldkling.com/blog/narrative-is-the-new-baloney-sandwich/#comment-456081</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Andrew']]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Jan 2015 13:08:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.arnoldkling.com/blog/?p=4551#comment-456081</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Bonus points for using &quot;Mono-culture&quot; in a sentence. You a permaculture fan?

The question I always have is why isn&#039;t this discussed (along with Fasb Mark-to-Market) in polite company?

How could it not be that earmarked investment would not cause a bubble in that asset?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bonus points for using &#8220;Mono-culture&#8221; in a sentence. You a permaculture fan?</p>
<p>The question I always have is why isn&#8217;t this discussed (along with Fasb Mark-to-Market) in polite company?</p>
<p>How could it not be that earmarked investment would not cause a bubble in that asset?</p>
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		<title>By: Warren Meyer</title>
		<link>http://www.arnoldkling.com/blog/narrative-is-the-new-baloney-sandwich/#comment-456069</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Warren Meyer]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Jan 2015 18:28:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.arnoldkling.com/blog/?p=4551#comment-456069</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Interesting, so by dictating essentially 1 set of safe assets (sovereign debt and mortgages) under the Basel accords, the regulators created a financial mono-culture.  So you are a bank president in this new regime.  You only have enough capital to meet government requirements if you get 100% credit for your investments, so it must be invested in &quot;safe&quot; assets.  What do you tell your investment staff?  You tell them to go invest the money in the &quot;safe&quot; asset that has the highest return.

And for most banks, this was mortgage-backed securities.  So, using the word Brad DeLong applied to deregulation, there was an &quot;orgy&quot; of buying of mortgage-backed securities.  There was simply enormous demand.  You hear stories about fraud and people cooking up all kinds of crazy mortgage products and trying to shove as many people as possible into mortgages, and here is one reason -- banks needed these things.  For the average investor, most of us stayed out.   In the 1980&#039;s, mortgage-backed securities were a pretty good investment for individuals looking for a bit more yield, but these changing regulations meant that banks needed these things, so the prices got bid up (and thus yields bid down) until they only made sense for the financial institutions that had to have them.

It was like suddenly passing a law saying that the only food people on government assistance could buy with their food stamps was oranges and orange derivatives (e.g. orange juice).  Grocery stores would instantly be out of oranges and orange juice.  People around the world would be scrambling to find ways to get more oranges to market.  Fortunes would be made by clever people who could find more oranges.  Fraud would likely occur as people watered down their orange derivatives or slipped in some Tang.  Those of us not on government assistance would stay away from oranges and eat other things, since oranges were now incredibly expensive and would only be bought at their current prices by folks forced to do so.  Eventually, things would settle down as everyone who could do so started to grow oranges. And all would be fine again, that is until there was a bad freeze and the orange crop failed.

Government regulation -- completely well-intentioned -- had created a mono-culture.  The diversity of investment choices that might be present when every bank was making its own asset risk decisions was replaced by a regime where just a few regulators picked and chose the assets.  And like any biological mono-culture, the ecosystem might be stronger for a while if those choices were good ones, but it made the whole system vulnerable to anything that might undermine mortgages.  When the housing market got sick (and as Kling says government regulation had some blame there as well), the system was suddenly incredibly vulnerable because it was over-invested in this one type of asset.  The US banking industry was a mono-culture through which a new disease ravaged the population]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Interesting, so by dictating essentially 1 set of safe assets (sovereign debt and mortgages) under the Basel accords, the regulators created a financial mono-culture.  So you are a bank president in this new regime.  You only have enough capital to meet government requirements if you get 100% credit for your investments, so it must be invested in &#8220;safe&#8221; assets.  What do you tell your investment staff?  You tell them to go invest the money in the &#8220;safe&#8221; asset that has the highest return.</p>
<p>And for most banks, this was mortgage-backed securities.  So, using the word Brad DeLong applied to deregulation, there was an &#8220;orgy&#8221; of buying of mortgage-backed securities.  There was simply enormous demand.  You hear stories about fraud and people cooking up all kinds of crazy mortgage products and trying to shove as many people as possible into mortgages, and here is one reason &#8212; banks needed these things.  For the average investor, most of us stayed out.   In the 1980&#8217;s, mortgage-backed securities were a pretty good investment for individuals looking for a bit more yield, but these changing regulations meant that banks needed these things, so the prices got bid up (and thus yields bid down) until they only made sense for the financial institutions that had to have them.</p>
<p>It was like suddenly passing a law saying that the only food people on government assistance could buy with their food stamps was oranges and orange derivatives (e.g. orange juice).  Grocery stores would instantly be out of oranges and orange juice.  People around the world would be scrambling to find ways to get more oranges to market.  Fortunes would be made by clever people who could find more oranges.  Fraud would likely occur as people watered down their orange derivatives or slipped in some Tang.  Those of us not on government assistance would stay away from oranges and eat other things, since oranges were now incredibly expensive and would only be bought at their current prices by folks forced to do so.  Eventually, things would settle down as everyone who could do so started to grow oranges. And all would be fine again, that is until there was a bad freeze and the orange crop failed.</p>
<p>Government regulation &#8212; completely well-intentioned &#8212; had created a mono-culture.  The diversity of investment choices that might be present when every bank was making its own asset risk decisions was replaced by a regime where just a few regulators picked and chose the assets.  And like any biological mono-culture, the ecosystem might be stronger for a while if those choices were good ones, but it made the whole system vulnerable to anything that might undermine mortgages.  When the housing market got sick (and as Kling says government regulation had some blame there as well), the system was suddenly incredibly vulnerable because it was over-invested in this one type of asset.  The US banking industry was a mono-culture through which a new disease ravaged the population</p>
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		<title>By: handle</title>
		<link>http://www.arnoldkling.com/blog/narrative-is-the-new-baloney-sandwich/#comment-456068</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[handle]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Jan 2015 18:27:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.arnoldkling.com/blog/?p=4551#comment-456068</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Ha!  I&#039;m going to start using it when I comment on EconLog, where the initials &#039;BS&#039; are banned.  Which is kinda odd for a libertarian site that advocates for the principle that adults should be treated like adults.  What a baloney sandwich.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ha!  I&#8217;m going to start using it when I comment on EconLog, where the initials &#8216;BS&#8217; are banned.  Which is kinda odd for a libertarian site that advocates for the principle that adults should be treated like adults.  What a baloney sandwich.</p>
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		<title>By: Yancey Ward</title>
		<link>http://www.arnoldkling.com/blog/narrative-is-the-new-baloney-sandwich/#comment-456067</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Yancey Ward]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Jan 2015 17:52:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.arnoldkling.com/blog/?p=4551#comment-456067</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[LOL!  Thanks for pointing that out- I hadn&#039;t noted it either.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>LOL!  Thanks for pointing that out- I hadn&#8217;t noted it either.</p>
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		<title>By: Brandon Berg</title>
		<link>http://www.arnoldkling.com/blog/narrative-is-the-new-baloney-sandwich/#comment-456066</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Brandon Berg]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Jan 2015 15:56:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.arnoldkling.com/blog/?p=4551#comment-456066</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#039;ve been seeing you write &quot;Baloney Sandwich&quot; for years now and only just noticed the initials. I&#039;m glad I was able to catch the joke on its last day before retirement.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve been seeing you write &#8220;Baloney Sandwich&#8221; for years now and only just noticed the initials. I&#8217;m glad I was able to catch the joke on its last day before retirement.</p>
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